Could Putin pull the trigger? This week marked an escalation in Russian president Vladimir Putin’s nuclear sabre-rattling, as he issued a new “warning” to the West. But some think Moscow’s red lines are losing their colour.
Russia raises the nuclear stakes
Could Putin pull the trigger? This week marked an escalation in Russian president Vladimir Putin's nuclear sabre-rattling, as he issued a new "warning" to the West. But some think Moscow's red lines are losing their colour.
"Clemenceau said war was too important to be left to the generals. But today, war is too important to be left to politicians," he says, a cigar smoking in his mouth.
This is the opinion of Brigadier General Jack D Ripper, the main antagonist of the 1964 black comedy Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb.
This year marked the 60th anniversary of Stanley Kubrick's film, which is about a deranged US general who goes rogue and orders a nuclear attack on the Soviet UnionOfficially the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR). A powerful group of communist republics, the biggest being Russia, that existed from 1922 to 1991. , triggering a frantic effort by the government to prevent global catastrophe.1
When Dr Strangelove was released, reviewers described it as "impossible on a dozen counts". But some say its events speak eerily to our current condition: the reckless brinkmanshipFollowing a risky policy to the edge of safety and stopping just before something really bad happens. of the man with his finger on the button, and the thin veneer of control in a world where one miscalculation could annihilate us all instantly.
On Wednesday, Russian president Vladimir PutinRussia's ruler since 2000. He is a strong opponent of the West. told a group of senior officials at Russia's security council that he would change the country's nuclear doctrineA set of beliefs, especially political or religious ones. to allow Russia to use nuclear weapons if attacked by any state using conventional weapons.
The escalation comes amid Ukraine's incursion into Russia's KurskA city in western Russia. In 2024, Ukrainian forces launched a surprise assault and took over parts of the region, as part of the Russia-Ukraine war which began in 2022. region, as Russia continues to advance in eastern Ukraine. There are fears that despite the audacious attacks, Ukraine may suffer serious losses in the coming months as they run critically low on ammunition, air defence resources and troops.
Putin also issued a thinly-veiled threat to the western powers that have been supporting Ukraine's military, stating that any nuclear power supporting another country's attack on Russia would be considered a participant in aggression.
It is based on the principle of nuclear deterrence, whereby nations are prevented from launching a serious or nuclear attack on another nation with a significant nuclear capacity for fear of its destructive retaliatory potential - in other words, mutually assured destruction.2 The idea is to lock us in a nuclear stalemate.
For some, the announcement seems a dramatic escalation in Putin's nuclear browbeating. But others say his threats are starting to wear thin, as more of Moscow's "red lines" are crossed without serious consequences. They think his warnings are mere bluster, strategic posturing to keep western powers from challenging his expansionistWant to expand a country's borders to cover more area. ambitions in Ukraine and beyond.
Could Putin pull the trigger?
Yes: Putin is a deranged madman who wants nothing more than the total destruction of the western world. We must navigate relations extremely carefully and avoid serious provocation.
No: The West has been crossing Putin's lines for years. We have received threat after threat of nuclear destruction. It is time to ignore the bluster and stand by the people of Ukraine and issue them with all the support that they need to win this war.
Or... We should be fearing the prospect of Iran's nuclear capacity, not Russia. That is the real threat to human existence, and something we should lend all of our attention to.
Keywords
Soviet Union - Officially the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR). A powerful group of communist republics, the biggest being Russia, that existed from 1922 to 1991.
Brinkmanship - Following a risky policy to the edge of safety and stopping just before something really bad happens.
Vladimir Putin - Russia's ruler since 2000. He is a strong opponent of the West.
Doctrine - A set of beliefs, especially political or religious ones.
Kursk - A city in western Russia. In 2024, Ukrainian forces launched a surprise assault and took over parts of the region, as part of the Russia-Ukraine war which began in 2022.
Expansionist - Want to expand a country's borders to cover more area.
Russia raises the nuclear stakes
Glossary
Soviet Union - Officially the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR). A powerful group of communist republics, the biggest being Russia, that existed from 1922 to 1991.
Brinkmanship - Following a risky policy to the edge of safety and stopping just before something really bad happens.
Vladimir Putin - Russia’s ruler since 2000. He is a strong opponent of the West.
Doctrine - A set of beliefs, especially political or religious ones.
Kursk - A city in western Russia. In 2024, Ukrainian forces launched a surprise assault and took over parts of the region, as part of the Russia-Ukraine war which began in 2022.
Expansionist - Want to expand a country's borders to cover more area.